Robot Predictions for 2022

汽车行业,电子商务和其他部门的活动将在来年塑造机器人技术的增长。


Quick hits:

  • Electric vehicles require many components that internal combustion engine vehicles do not. As a result, new facilities will be built that are liable to employ autonomous mobile robots (AMRs) and other modular robotic technologies.
  • 在电子商务领域,大规模定制将推动灵活的运输和机器人产品的扩散。
  • 智力和适应性的提高可能会导致机器人穿透新部门,需要工人再培训。

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您好,欢迎来到另一集带着五个自动化的世界. I’m David Miller, Senior Technical Writer forAutomation World.今天,我想解决一些预测ABB’s机器人部门主席马克·塞古拉(Mark Segura)涉及旁观者在明年左右的工业机器人技术中可以看到什么样的发展。

现在,这些预测的大部分都来自ABB的马克·塞古拉(Mark Segura),但它们确实反映了我们自己近年来在自动化世界中发现和写过的很多东西。因此,我将分享Mark的预测,但我还将添加一些其他见解。

So, there are three key trends Mark emphasizes. Number one is that the growing proliferation of electric vehicles will bring changes to automotive manufacturing, which will be felt in increased demand for certain types of robots. To give some more perspective on this, Bloomberg estimates that worldwide EV sales will increase from 1.1 million in 2017 to 11 million by 2025. And that’s for a variety of reasons that we don’t really need to go into here. What’s more important from out standpoint is that it requires new manufacturing facilities and procedures because the manufacturing process for EVs is different than for internal combustion engine vehicles, and requires different components, the most prominent of which is of course the EV’s battery.

Now, automotive manufacturers will want to bring the production of batteries as close as possible to vehicle assembly for a multitude of reasons, and this means new facilities will need to be built. When you build new facilities rather than upgrading old facilities, you are more likely to buy the latest and greatest tech on the market, simply because you can. You can start from scratch, so why not build the best facility possible? The result is going to be that these new facilities are built to be responsive to an environment in which demand is more unpredictable, meaning that they will most likely adopt modular and flexible as opposed to fixed production models. That means mobile robotics and other flexible technologies. So, this is somewhere where we could see AMRs, for instance, really blow up.

Trend two. E-Commerce will create more demand for flexible robotic technologies. Now, this is something we’ve talked about a great deal before. When it comes to e-commerce what we’re looking at is many different goods – increasingly being customized down to single units -- being ordered in many different combinations to customers in many different locations. So in order to produce, pack out, and ship these goods efficiently, tremendous flexibility is needed on the part of machinery. Because there’s no way that you can do 20 different changeovers on a single line for 20 different customized products and remain efficient – so the line needs to be able to run multiple products without changeover, or changeover needs to be incredibly rapid and software driven. We’ve covered this in some detail particularly in regard to flexible conveyance systems such as贝克霍夫的XTS andB&R Automation’sAcopostrak,我在下面提供了一些指向更多材料的链接。但是基本上,这种趋势有望继续,并将影响我们看到部署的前进的机器人类型。

Trend three – Final trend for this video. Robot use will expand into new sectors of the economy, and it will require mass retraining of workers even in non-industrial professions. Now the interesting thing about this is that even though it’s a trend that will eventually see robots penetrate healthcare, retail, and food it still begins with industry. What’s happening is that the need among smaller, less experienced industrial companies for robots is leading to an uptick in very adaptable, intuitive, collaborative robots, which can be programmed incredibly simply and can work directly alongside humans. So, we see this as small machine shops and businesses like that. But once that technology is developed, the prices come down, and it becomes easier for other sectors to begin integrating these very safe, adaptable, and intuitive robots.

And if that were to occur, it would actually be a huge cultural shift, because it would involve large portions of society working with robots. In this scenario, you would really want familiarity with robots nurtured not just at the college, but also the primary and secondary levels. So that’s significant.

In any case, that’s all I have for you today. Thanks for watching.

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